What History Tells Us About US Presidential Elections and the Market

October 1, 2020

It’s natural for investors to look for a connection between who
wins the White House and which way stocks will go. But as
nearly a century of returns shows, stocks have trended upward
across administrations from both parties.

• Shareholders are investing in companies, not a political
party. And companies focus on serving their customers
and growing their businesses, regardless of who is in the
White House.

• US presidents may have an impact on market returns,
but so do hundreds, if not thousands, of other factors—the
actions of foreign leaders, a global pandemic, interest rate
changes, rising and falling oil prices, and technological
advances, just to name a few.

Stocks have rewarded disciplined investors for decades,
through Democratic and Republican presidencies.
It’s an important lesson on the benefits of a long-term
investment approach.

Sources: Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


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